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Asian Cup · Group Stage - 1 · World

Qatar v Thailand

· Imam Mohammed Ibn Saud University Stadium, Riyadh

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Qatar v Thailand: the model read

Qatar meet Thailand in the Asian Cup group stage - 1 at Imam Mohammed Ibn Saud University Stadium, Riyadh.

Thailand rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1400. Recent form leans Thailand, 73% against 26%. Attacking output favors Thailand on expected goals, 2.1 to 0.6 per match.

Qatar arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Bosnia & Herzegovina, L 0-6 @ Canada, D 1-1 v Switzerland, D 0-0 v El Salvador.

Thailand are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Vietnam, L 0-2 v Vietnam, L 1-2 v Singapore, W 3-1 @ Singapore.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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See plans

Qatar

LDDLL2-5-10

Scored 0.65 · Conceded 1.88 · Clean sheets 17.6% · BTTS 47.1%

  • LABosnia & Herzegovina1-3
  • LACanada0-6
  • DHSwitzerland1-1
  • DHEl Salvador0-0
  • LARep. Of Ireland0-1

Thailand

WWLLD13-3-4

Scored 2.10 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 40%

  • DAVietnam2-2
  • LHVietnam0-2
  • LHSingapore1-2
  • WASingapore3-1
  • WHMyanmar2-0

Managers

Lopetegui

Spain · 59

In charge since 2025 · 10 teams managed

  • West Ham United2024–2025
  • Qatar2023–2026
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers2022–2023
  • Sevilla2019–2022

M. Ishii

Japan · 58

In charge since 2023 · 5 teams managed

  • Buriram United2021–2023
  • Samut Prakan City2020–2021
  • Omiya Ardija2017–2018
  • Kashima Antlers2015–2017

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.