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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 6 · World

Tanzania v Madagascar

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Tanzania v Madagascar: the model read

Tanzania meet Madagascar in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 6.

The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1528, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Madagascar, 53% against 38%. Attacking output favors Madagascar on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.

Tanzania arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 6-0 @ Macau, L 0-1 v Liechtenstein, L 0-1 @ Morocco, D 1-1 v Tunisia.

Madagascar are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Morocco, D 1-1 @ Equatorial Guinea, W 5-2 @ Kyrgyzstan, W 2-0 v Equatorial Guinea.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

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Tanzania

DDLLW4-4-8

Scored 1.13 · Conceded 1.06 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 37.5%

  • WAMacau6-0
  • LHLiechtenstein0-1
  • LAMorocco0-1
  • DHTunisia1-1
  • DAUganda1-1

Madagascar

LWWDL8-4-7

Scored 1.47 · Conceded 1.53 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 63.2%

  • LAMorocco0-4
  • DAEquatorial Guinea1-1
  • WAKyrgyzstan5-2
  • WHEquatorial Guinea2-0
  • LAMali1-4

Managers

M. Gamondi

Argentina · 59

In charge since 2026 · 8 teams managed

  • Young Africans2023–2024
  • Ittihad Tanger2021–2022
  • Maghreb Fès2021–2021
  • Wydad Casablanca2020–2020

C. Martins

France · 56

In charge since 2026 · 6 teams managed

  • Belouizdad2024–2024
  • Paradou AC2023–2024
  • Libya2022–2023
  • Mauritania2014–2021

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.