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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 6 · World

Senegal v Ethiopia

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Senegal v Ethiopia: the model read

Senegal meet Ethiopia in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 6.

Senegal rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1447. Recent form leans Senegal, 68% against 38%. Attacking output favors Senegal on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.1 per match.

Senegal arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Belgium, W 5-0 v Iraq, L 2-3 @ Norway, L 1-3 @ France.

Ethiopia are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Malawi, W 1-0 v Malawi, W 1-0 v Sao Tome and Principe, W 3-0 @ Sao Tome and Principe.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Senegal

DLLWL12-2-5

Scored 2.58 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 52.6% · BTTS 42.1%

  • LABelgium2-3
  • WHIraq5-0
  • LANorway2-3
  • LAFrance1-3
  • DASaudi Arabia0-0

Ethiopia

LWWWD6-1-10

Scored 1.06 · Conceded 1.59 · Clean sheets 23.5% · BTTS 35.3%

  • DHMalawi1-1
  • WHMalawi1-0
  • WHSao Tome and Principe1-0
  • WASao Tome and Principe3-0
  • LABurkina Faso1-3

Managers

Joseph Senghor

Head coach

In charge since 2025

M. Teferi

Ethiopia

In charge since 2024

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.