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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 6 · World

Morocco v Lesotho

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Morocco v Lesotho: the model read

Morocco meet Lesotho in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 6.

Morocco rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1698 to 1420. Recent form leans Morocco, 79% against 37%. Attacking output favors Morocco on expected goals, 2.0 to 0.5 per match.

Morocco arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ France, W 3-0 @ Canada, D 1-1 @ Netherlands, W 4-2 v Haiti.

Lesotho are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Kenya, D 1-1 v Kenya, W 2-1 v Seychelles, D 0-0 @ Seychelles.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Morocco

WWDWL12-6-1

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 0.63 · Clean sheets 52.6% · BTTS 42.1%

  • LAFrance0-2
  • WACanada3-0
  • DANetherlands1-1
  • WHHaiti4-2
  • WAScotland1-0

Lesotho

LDWDL5-4-10

Scored 0.47 · Conceded 1.79 · Clean sheets 31.6% · BTTS 21.1%

  • LAKenya0-4
  • DHKenya1-1
  • WHSeychelles2-1
  • DASeychelles0-0
  • LHMalawi0-1

Managers

M. Ouahbi

Belgium · 49

In charge since 2026 · 5 teams managed

  • Morocco U202024–2026
  • Morocco U192024–2024
  • Morocco U232023–2023
  • Morocco U202022–2023

Leslie Notsi

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.