Mauritania v Benin: the model read
Mauritania meet Benin in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 6.
The baseline ratings are close, 1474 to 1468, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 47% against 45%. Attacking output favors Benin on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.6 per match.
Mauritania arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Niger, D 1-1 @ Angola, L 1-2 @ Argentina, L 0-2 v Kuwait.
Benin are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Togo, D 1-1 v Niger, W 1-0 @ Guinea, W 1-0 v Liberia.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Benin 3-1 Mauritania.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
