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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 6 · World

Mali v Liberia

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Mali v Liberia: the model read

Mali meet Liberia in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 6.

The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1434, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Mali, 53% against 41%. Attacking output favors Mali on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.

Mali arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 1 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Iran, D 0-0 @ Russia, L 0-1 v Senegal, D 1-1 v Tunisia.

Liberia are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Sierra Leone, L 0-1 @ Sierra Leone, D 2-2 v Libya, L 0-1 @ Benin.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

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Mali

DDLDL6-8-5

Scored 1.16 · Conceded 0.53 · Clean sheets 52.6% · BTTS 21.1%

  • LAIran0-2
  • DARussia0-0
  • LHSenegal0-1
  • DHTunisia1-1
  • DAComoros0-0

Liberia

LLDLW4-5-7

Scored 1.06 · Conceded 1.63 · Clean sheets 6.3% · BTTS 56.3%

  • WHSierra Leone3-1
  • LASierra Leone0-1
  • DHLibya2-2
  • LABenin0-1
  • LAGuinea0-2

Managers

T. Saintfiet

Belgium · 52

In charge since 2024 · 18 teams managed

  • Philippines2024–2024
  • Gambia2018–2024
  • Malta2017–2018
  • Trinidad and Tobago2016–2017

T. Kojo

Liberia · 53

In charge since 2019

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.