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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 5 · World

Benin v Burkina Faso

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Benin v Burkina Faso: the model read

Benin meet Burkina Faso in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 5.

Burkina Faso rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1589 to 1468. Recent form leans Burkina Faso, 61% against 45%. Attacking output favors Burkina Faso on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.8 per match.

Benin arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Togo, D 1-1 v Niger, W 1-0 @ Guinea, W 1-0 v Liberia.

Burkina Faso are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Belarus, L 0-3 @ Russia, D 1-1 v Guinea-Bissau, W 5-0 v Guinea-Bissau.

Burkina Faso hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Burkina Faso 3-0 Benin.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Benin

LWWDL6-5-8

Scored 0.84 · Conceded 1.42 · Clean sheets 36.8% · BTTS 31.6%

  • LATogo1-5
  • DHNiger1-1
  • WAGuinea1-0
  • WHLiberia1-0
  • LAEgypt1-3

Burkina Faso

LWDLD10-3-6

Scored 1.84 · Conceded 1.11 · Clean sheets 36.8% · BTTS 36.8%

  • DABelarus2-2
  • LARussia0-3
  • DHGuinea-Bissau1-1
  • WHGuinea-Bissau5-0
  • LAIvory Coast0-3

Head-to-head

5 meetings

BeninrecordBurkina Faso
1
2
2 draws

Goals

5-9

for each

Avg goals

2.8

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

Benin

Recent
LDDLW
Wins 1Goals 5-9

Biggest win 2-1

Burkina Faso

Recent
WDDWL
Wins 2Goals 9-5

Biggest win 3-0

  • Burkina Faso3-0Benin
  • Benin2-2Burkina Faso
  • Burkina Faso1-1Benin
  • Burkina Faso2-0Benin
  • Benin2-1Burkina Faso

Managers

G. Rohr

Germany · 72

In charge since 2023 · 6 teams managed

  • Nigeria2016–2021
  • Burkina Faso2015–2015
  • Niger2012–2014
  • Gabon2010–2012

Amir Abdou

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Hassania Agadir2025–2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.