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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 4 · World

Zimbabwe v Equatorial Guinea

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Zimbabwe v Equatorial Guinea: the model read

Zimbabwe meet Equatorial Guinea in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 4.

The baseline ratings are close, 1432 to 1407, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 39% against 36%. Attacking output favors Zimbabwe on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.

Zimbabwe arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ India, L 0-2 @ Nigeria, W 1-0 v Zambia U23, W 3-0 @ Botswana.

Equatorial Guinea are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Comoros, D 1-1 v Madagascar, W 1-0 @ Kyrgyzstan, L 1-3 v Algeria.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

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Zimbabwe

LWWLW5-5-9

Scored 0.89 · Conceded 1.16 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 42.1%

  • WAIndia1-0
  • LANigeria0-2
  • WHZambia U231-0
  • WABotswana3-0
  • LHSouth Africa2-3

Equatorial Guinea

LLWDL4-5-9

Scored 0.83 · Conceded 1.28 · Clean sheets 22.2% · BTTS 50%

  • LHComoros0-1
  • DHMadagascar1-1
  • WAKyrgyzstan1-0
  • LHAlgeria1-3
  • LHSudan0-1

Managers

M. Marinică

Romania · 61

In charge since 2026 · 3 teams managed

  • Malawi2021–2023

Casto Nopo

Equatorial Guinea · 52

In charge since 2019

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.