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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 4 · World

Congo v Comoros

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Congo v Comoros: the model read

Congo meet Comoros in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 4.

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1432, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 32% against 39%. Attacking output favors Comoros on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.7 per match.

Congo arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Morocco, L 1-3 @ Niger, D 1-1 v Tanzania, L 0-2 @ Nigeria.

Comoros are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 2 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Equatorial Guinea, L 1-2 @ Morocco U23, L 0-1 @ Kazakhstan, D 0-0 @ Namibia.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Congo

DLDLL2-5-7

Scored 0.71 · Conceded 1.57 · Clean sheets 14.3% · BTTS 50%

  • LAMorocco0-1
  • LANiger1-3
  • DHTanzania1-1
  • LANigeria0-2
  • DASenegal1-1

Comoros

DDLLW5-4-9

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 1.28 · Clean sheets 44.4% · BTTS 33.3%

  • WAEquatorial Guinea1-0
  • LAMorocco U231-2
  • LAKazakhstan0-1
  • DANamibia0-0
  • DHMali0-0

Managers

I. N'Gata

France · 60

In charge since 2024 · 4 teams managed

  • Motema Pembe2019–2022
  • Evry2013–2014
  • Viry Châtillon2010–2012

Hubert Velud

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.