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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 2 · World

Mozambique v Sudan

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Mozambique v Sudan: the model read

Mozambique meet Sudan in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 2.

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 32% against 28%. Attacking output favors Mozambique on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.4 per match.

Mozambique arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 5 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Indonesia, L 1-4 @ Oman, L 0-4 @ Nigeria, L 1-2 v Cameroon.

Sudan are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Senegal, L 0-2 v Burkina Faso, W 1-0 @ Equatorial Guinea, L 0-3 @ Algeria.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

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Mozambique

WLLLL5-2-12

Scored 0.89 · Conceded 1.95 · Clean sheets 21.1% · BTTS 42.1%

  • LAIndonesia0-1
  • LAOman1-4
  • LANigeria0-4
  • LHCameroon1-2
  • WAGabon3-2

Sudan

LLWLL2-6-10

Scored 0.39 · Conceded 1.28 · Clean sheets 27.8% · BTTS 27.8%

  • LASenegal1-3
  • LHBurkina Faso0-2
  • WAEquatorial Guinea1-0
  • LAAlgeria0-3
  • LABahrain1-3

Managers

Victor Matine

Mozambique · 59

In charge since 2023

K. Appiah

Ghana · 65

In charge since 2023 · 2 teams managed

  • Ghana2017–2020
  • Ghana2012–2014

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.