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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 2 · World

Guinea v Kenya

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Guinea v Kenya: the model read

Guinea meet Kenya in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 2.

The baseline ratings are close, 1483 to 1573, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Kenya, 60% against 50%. Attacking output favors Kenya on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.0 per match.

Guinea arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Northern Ireland, L 0-1 v Benin, D 2-2 v Togo, D 1-1 v Niger.

Kenya are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Lesotho, D 1-1 @ Lesotho, W 3-0 @ Grenada, D 1-1 v Estonia.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Guinea

WDDLL5-8-5

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 0.94 · Clean sheets 33.3% · BTTS 44.4%

  • LANorthern Ireland0-1
  • LHBenin0-1
  • DHTogo2-2
  • DHNiger1-1
  • WHLiberia2-0

Kenya

LDWDW7-4-4

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.27 · Clean sheets 46.7% · BTTS 33.3%

  • WHLesotho4-0
  • DALesotho1-1
  • WAGrenada3-0
  • DHEstonia1-1
  • LASenegal0-8

Managers

Paulo Duarte

Portugal · 56

In charge since 2026 · 8 teams managed

  • Al Kholood2024–2024
  • Togo2021–2024
  • Burkina Faso2015–2019
  • CS Sfaxien2015–2015

B. McCarthy

South Africa · 48

In charge since 2025 · 3 teams managed

  • Kenya2023–2026
  • AmaZulu2020–2022
  • Cape Town City2017–2019

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.