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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 2 · World

Benin v Mauritania

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Benin v Mauritania: the model read

Benin meet Mauritania in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 2.

The baseline ratings are close, 1468 to 1474, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 47%. Attacking output favors Benin on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.6 per match.

Benin arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Togo, D 1-1 v Niger, W 1-0 @ Guinea, W 1-0 v Liberia.

Mauritania are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Niger, D 1-1 @ Angola, L 1-2 @ Argentina, L 0-2 v Kuwait.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Benin 3-1 Mauritania.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Benin

LWWDL6-5-8

Scored 0.84 · Conceded 1.42 · Clean sheets 36.8% · BTTS 31.6%

  • LATogo1-5
  • DHNiger1-1
  • WAGuinea1-0
  • WHLiberia1-0
  • LAEgypt1-3

Mauritania

LLLDW5-6-6

Scored 0.59 · Conceded 0.88 · Clean sheets 47.1% · BTTS 23.5%

  • WANiger1-0
  • DAAngola1-1
  • LAArgentina1-2
  • LHKuwait0-2
  • LALibya0-1

Head-to-head

2 meetings

BeninrecordMauritania
1
1
0 draws

Goals

3-2

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Benin

Recent
WL
Wins 1Goals 3-2

Biggest win 3-1

Mauritania

Recent
LW
Wins 1Goals 2-3

Biggest win 1-0

  • Benin3-1Mauritania
  • Mauritania1-0Benin

Managers

G. Rohr

Germany · 72

In charge since 2023 · 6 teams managed

  • Nigeria2016–2021
  • Burkina Faso2015–2015
  • Niger2012–2014
  • Gabon2010–2012

Aritz Lopez

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.