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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 1 · World

Tanzania v Guinea-Bissau

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Tanzania v Guinea-Bissau: the model read

Tanzania meet Guinea-Bissau in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 1.

The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Tanzania, 38% against 25%. Attacking output favors Tanzania on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.7 per match.

Tanzania arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 6-0 @ Macau, L 0-1 v Liechtenstein, L 0-1 @ Morocco, D 1-1 v Tunisia.

Guinea-Bissau are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Burkina Faso, L 0-5 @ Burkina Faso, L 0-1 @ Egypt, L 0-1 @ Ethiopia.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

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Tanzania

DDLLW4-4-8

Scored 1.13 · Conceded 1.06 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 37.5%

  • WAMacau6-0
  • LHLiechtenstein0-1
  • LAMorocco0-1
  • DHTunisia1-1
  • DAUganda1-1

Guinea-Bissau

WLLLD2-6-12

Scored 0.65 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 50%

  • DABurkina Faso1-1
  • LABurkina Faso0-5
  • LAEgypt0-1
  • LAEthiopia0-1
  • WHDjibouti2-0

Managers

M. Gamondi

Argentina · 59

In charge since 2026 · 8 teams managed

  • Young Africans2023–2024
  • Ittihad Tanger2021–2022
  • Maghreb Fès2021–2021
  • Wydad Casablanca2020–2020
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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.