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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 1 · World

Senegal v Mozambique

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Senegal v Mozambique: the model read

Senegal meet Mozambique in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 1.

Senegal rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1400. Recent form leans Senegal, 68% against 32%. Attacking output favors Senegal on expected goals, 2.6 to 0.9 per match.

Senegal arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Belgium, W 5-0 v Iraq, L 2-3 @ Norway, L 1-3 @ France.

Mozambique are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 5 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Indonesia, L 1-4 @ Oman, L 0-4 @ Nigeria, L 1-2 v Cameroon.

Senegal hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Mozambique 0-1 Senegal.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Senegal

DLLWL12-2-5

Scored 2.58 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 52.6% · BTTS 42.1%

  • LABelgium2-3
  • WHIraq5-0
  • LANorway2-3
  • LAFrance1-3
  • DASaudi Arabia0-0

Mozambique

WLLLL5-2-12

Scored 0.89 · Conceded 1.95 · Clean sheets 21.1% · BTTS 42.1%

  • LAIndonesia0-1
  • LAOman1-4
  • LANigeria0-4
  • LHCameroon1-2
  • WAGabon3-2

Head-to-head

4 meetings

SenegalrecordMozambique
3
0
1 draw

Goals

8-2

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

25%

3+ goals

Senegal

Recent
WWDW
Wins 3Goals 8-2

Biggest win 5-1

Mozambique

Recent
LLDL
Wins 0Goals 2-8
  • Mozambique0-1Senegal
  • Senegal5-1Mozambique
  • Mozambique1-1Senegal
  • Senegal1-0Mozambique

Managers

Joseph Senghor

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Victor Matine

Mozambique · 59

In charge since 2023

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.