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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 1 · World

Nigeria v Madagascar

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Nigeria v Madagascar: the model read

Nigeria meet Madagascar in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 1.

Nigeria rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1662 to 1528. Recent form leans Nigeria, 74% against 53%. Attacking output favors Nigeria on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.5 per match.

Nigeria arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Portugal, D 2-2 @ Poland, W 3-0 @ Jamaica, W 2-0 v Zimbabwe.

Madagascar are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Morocco, D 1-1 @ Equatorial Guinea, W 5-2 @ Kyrgyzstan, W 2-0 v Equatorial Guinea.

Madagascar hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Madagascar 2-0 Nigeria.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Nigeria

DWWDL11-6-2

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 0.89 · Clean sheets 36.8% · BTTS 63.2%

  • LAPortugal1-2
  • DAPoland2-2
  • WAJamaica3-0
  • WHZimbabwe2-0
  • DAJordan2-2

Madagascar

LWWDL8-4-7

Scored 1.47 · Conceded 1.53 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 63.2%

  • LAMorocco0-4
  • DAEquatorial Guinea1-1
  • WAKyrgyzstan5-2
  • WHEquatorial Guinea2-0
  • LAMali1-4

Head-to-head

1 meeting

NigeriarecordMadagascar
0
1
0 draws

Goals

0-2

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Nigeria

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 0-2

Madagascar

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 2-0

Biggest win 2-0

  • Madagascar2-0Nigeria

Managers

A. Eguavoen

Nigeria · 60

  • Nigeria2024–2024
  • Nigeria2021–2022
  • Nigeria2005–2007

C. Martins

France · 56

In charge since 2026 · 6 teams managed

  • Belouizdad2024–2024
  • Paradou AC2023–2024
  • Libya2022–2023
  • Mauritania2014–2021

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.