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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 1 · World

Morocco v Gabon

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Morocco v Gabon: the model read

Morocco meet Gabon in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 1.

Morocco rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1698 to 1509. Recent form leans Morocco, 79% against 50%. Attacking output favors Morocco on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.7 per match.

Morocco arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ France, W 3-0 @ Canada, D 1-1 @ Netherlands, W 4-2 v Haiti.

Gabon are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 7 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Trinidad and Tobago, L 1-3 @ Uzbekistan, L 2-3 v Ivory Coast, L 2-3 v Mozambique.

Morocco hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Gabon 1-5 Morocco.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Morocco

WWDWL12-6-1

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 0.63 · Clean sheets 52.6% · BTTS 42.1%

  • LAFrance0-2
  • WACanada3-0
  • DANetherlands1-1
  • WHHaiti4-2
  • WAScotland1-0

Gabon

LLLLD7-4-7

Scored 1.67 · Conceded 1.61 · Clean sheets 44.4% · BTTS 50%

  • DATrinidad and Tobago2-2
  • LAUzbekistan1-3
  • LHIvory Coast2-3
  • LHMozambique2-3
  • LACameroon0-1

Head-to-head

7 meetings

MoroccorecordGabon
3
1
3 draws

Goals

16-7

for each

Avg goals

3.3

per game

BTTS

57%

both scored

Over 2.5

71%

3+ goals

Morocco

Recent
WWDLWD
Wins 3Goals 16-7

Biggest win 5-1

Gabon

Recent
LLDWLD
Wins 1Goals 7-16

Biggest win 3-2

  • Gabon1-5Morocco
  • Morocco4-1Gabon
  • Gabon2-2Morocco
  • Morocco2-3Gabon
  • Morocco3-0Gabon
  • Gabon0-0Morocco
  • Gabon0-0Morocco

Managers

M. Ouahbi

Belgium · 49

In charge since 2026 · 5 teams managed

  • Morocco U202024–2026
  • Morocco U192024–2024
  • Morocco U232023–2023
  • Morocco U202022–2023

T. Mouyouma

Gabon · 50

In charge since 2023

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.