Where the market is wrong on Cameroon v Comoros
Cameroon meet Comoros in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 1.
Cameroon rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1432. Recent form leans Cameroon, 63% against 39%. Attacking output favors Cameroon on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.0 per match.
Cameroon arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ China, L 0-1 @ Australia, L 0-2 v Morocco, W 2-1 @ South Africa.
Comoros are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 2 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Equatorial Guinea, L 1-2 @ Morocco U23, L 0-1 @ Kazakhstan, D 0-0 @ Namibia.
Cameroon hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: Cameroon 2-1 Comoros.
The market prices CAM at 78% implied. Our number sits apart on Comoros: a 18.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
