Afturelding v Stjarnan: the model read
Afturelding meet Stjarnan in the Cup quarter-finals. The model makes Afturelding the most likely outcome at 50%, with the full read 50% AFT, 25% draw, 25% STJ.
Afturelding rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1722 to 1443. Recent form leans Afturelding, 79% against 40%. Attacking output favors Afturelding on expected goals, 3.2 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 80%, over 2.5 goals around 92%. Draw no bet leans Afturelding at 67%; double chance reads Afturelding or draw 75%, Stjarnan or draw 50%.
Afturelding arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 19 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Fylkir, W 3-2 v Leiknir R., W 6-1 @ Völsungur, W 1-0 @ IR Reykjavik.
Stjarnan are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ IA Akranes, W 1-0 v Ilves, L 0-5 @ KR Reykjavik, D 2-2 @ Vikingur Gota.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Afturelding 3-1 Stjarnan.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
