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UEFA Nations League · 6 · World

Latvia v Armenia

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Latvia v Armenia: the model read

Latvia meet Armenia in the UEFA Nations League 6.

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Latvia, 35% against 26%. Attacking output favors Armenia on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.6 per match.

Latvia arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Faroe Islands, D 1-1 @ Lithuania, W 1-0 v Gibraltar, W 1-0 @ Gibraltar.

Armenia are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Moldova, D 1-1 v Kazakhstan, L 1-2 v Belarus, L 1-9 @ Portugal.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Latvia

LWWDL4-6-10

Scored 0.60 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 35%

  • LHFaroe Islands0-1
  • DALithuania1-1
  • WHGibraltar1-0
  • WAGibraltar1-0
  • LASerbia1-2

Armenia

LLLDD3-4-12

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 2.53 · Clean sheets 0% · BTTS 57.9%

  • DHMoldova1-1
  • DHKazakhstan1-1
  • LHBelarus1-2
  • LAPortugal1-9
  • LHHungary0-1

Managers

P. Nicolato

Italy · 59

In charge since 2024 · 5 teams managed

  • Italy U212019–2023
  • Italy U202019–2019
  • Italy U192017–2018
  • Lumezzane2015–2016

E. Melikyan

Armenia · 46

In charge since 2025 · 6 teams managed

  • Alashkert2020–2021
  • Lviv2019–2020
  • Stal Kamianske2017–2017
  • Hoverla2011–2012

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.