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UEFA Nations League · 5 · World

Montenegro v Latvia

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Montenegro v Latvia: the model read

Montenegro meet Latvia in the UEFA Nations League 5.

The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 35%. Attacking output favors Montenegro on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.6 per match.

Montenegro arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Slovakia, W 1-0 @ Bulgaria, L 2-3 v Slovenia, W 2-0 v Andorra.

Latvia are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Faroe Islands, D 1-1 @ Lithuania, W 1-0 v Gibraltar, W 1-0 @ Gibraltar.

Montenegro hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2021: Montenegro 0-0 Latvia.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Montenegro

LWLWD7-2-11

Scored 1.15 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 45%

  • DASlovakia2-2
  • WABulgaria1-0
  • LHSlovenia2-3
  • WHAndorra2-0
  • LHCroatia2-3

Latvia

LWWDL4-6-10

Scored 0.60 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 35%

  • LHFaroe Islands0-1
  • DALithuania1-1
  • WHGibraltar1-0
  • WAGibraltar1-0
  • LASerbia1-2

Head-to-head

3 meetings

MontenegrorecordLatvia
1
0
2 draws

Goals

3-2

for each

Avg goals

1.7

per game

BTTS

67%

both scored

Over 2.5

33%

3+ goals

Montenegro

Recent
DWD
Wins 1Goals 3-2

Biggest win 2-1

Latvia

Recent
DLD
Wins 0Goals 2-3
  • Montenegro0-0Latvia
  • Latvia1-2Montenegro
  • Montenegro1-1Latvia

Managers

R. Prosinečki

Croatia · 56

In charge since 2024 · 8 teams managed

  • Rudeš2023–2023
  • Olimpija2022–2022
  • Denizlispor2020–2020
  • Kayserispor2019–2020

P. Nicolato

Italy · 59

In charge since 2024 · 5 teams managed

  • Italy U212019–2023
  • Italy U202019–2019
  • Italy U192017–2018
  • Lumezzane2015–2016

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.