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UEFA Nations League · 1 · World

Armenia v Latvia

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Armenia v Latvia: the model read

Armenia meet Latvia in the UEFA Nations League 1.

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Latvia, 35% against 26%. Attacking output favors Armenia on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.6 per match.

Armenia arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Moldova, D 1-1 v Kazakhstan, L 1-2 v Belarus, L 1-9 @ Portugal.

Latvia are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Faroe Islands, D 1-1 @ Lithuania, W 1-0 v Gibraltar, W 1-0 @ Gibraltar.

Armenia hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Latvia 1-2 Armenia.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Armenia

LLLDD3-4-12

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 2.53 · Clean sheets 0% · BTTS 57.9%

  • DHMoldova1-1
  • DHKazakhstan1-1
  • LHBelarus1-2
  • LAPortugal1-9
  • LHHungary0-1

Latvia

LWWDL4-6-10

Scored 0.60 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 35%

  • LHFaroe Islands0-1
  • DALithuania1-1
  • WHGibraltar1-0
  • WAGibraltar1-0
  • LASerbia1-2

Head-to-head

4 meetings

ArmeniarecordLatvia
3
1
0 draws

Goals

8-5

for each

Avg goals

3.3

per game

BTTS

75%

both scored

Over 2.5

75%

3+ goals

Armenia

Recent
WWLW
Wins 3Goals 8-5

Biggest win 4-1

Latvia

Recent
LLWL
Wins 1Goals 5-8

Biggest win 2-0

  • Latvia1-2Armenia
  • Armenia4-1Latvia
  • Latvia2-0Armenia
  • Armenia2-1Latvia

Managers

E. Melikyan

Armenia · 46

In charge since 2025 · 6 teams managed

  • Alashkert2020–2021
  • Lviv2019–2020
  • Stal Kamianske2017–2017
  • Hoverla2011–2012

P. Nicolato

Italy · 59

In charge since 2024 · 5 teams managed

  • Italy U212019–2023
  • Italy U202019–2019
  • Italy U192017–2018
  • Lumezzane2015–2016

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.