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Eerste Divisie · Final · Netherlands

FC Volendam v Willem II

1-2Full time· Kras Stadion, Volendam· Referee: S. van der Eijk

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Match analysisPre-match brief

FC Volendam v Willem II: the model read

FC Volendam meet Willem II in the Eerste Divisie final at Kras Stadion, Volendam. The model makes Willem II the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 23% FC , 28% draw, 49% WIL.

Willem II rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1662 to 1443. Recent form leans Willem II, 71% against 40%. Attacking output favors Willem II on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans Willem II at 68%; double chance reads FC Volendam or draw 51%, Willem II or draw 77%.

FC Volendam arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Waalwijk, L 1-2 @ Almere City FC, L 1-3 @ Jong AZ, W 3-2 @ RKAV Volendam.

Willem II are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v FC Eindhoven, L 1-2 v Quick Boys, W 2-1 @ FC Volendam, L 1-2 v FC Volendam.

Willem II hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Volendam 1-2 Willem II.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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FC Volendam

LWLLD6-4-10

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 1.65 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 70%

  • DAWaalwijk2-2
  • LAAlmere City FC1-2
  • LAJong AZ1-3
  • WARKAV Volendam3-2
  • LHWillem II1-2

Willem II

WLWLD12-3-4

Scored 1.68 · Conceded 0.79 · Clean sheets 42.1% · BTTS 47.4%

  • DHFC Eindhoven2-2
  • LHQuick Boys1-2
  • WAFC Volendam2-1
  • LHFC Volendam1-2
  • WHAlmere City FC2-0

Head-to-head

3 meetings

FC VolendamrecordWillem II
1
2
0 draws

Goals

4-5

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

FC Volendam

Recent
LWL
Wins 1Goals 4-5

Biggest win 2-1

Willem II

Recent
WLW
Wins 2Goals 5-4

Biggest win 2-1

  • FC Volendam1-2Willem II
  • Willem II1-2FC Volendam
  • FC Volendam1-2Willem II

Managers

R. Kruijs

Netherlands · 40

In charge since 2024 · 4 clubs managed

  • VVV2022–2024
  • Utrecht2022–2022
  • Utrecht2018–2018

J. Stegeman

Netherlands · 49

In charge since 2025 · 5 clubs managed

  • Antwerp2025–2025
  • PEC Zwolle2019–2021
  • Go Ahead Eagles2018–2019
  • Heracles2014–2018

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.