Skip to content
Bundesliga · Final · Germany

SC Paderborn 07 v VfL Wolfsburg

2-1Full time· Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn· Referee: Felix Zwayer, Germany

Share
Match analysisPre-match brief

SC Paderborn 07 v VfL Wolfsburg: the model read

SC Paderborn 07 meet VfL Wolfsburg in the Bundesliga final at Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn. The model makes SC Paderborn 07 the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 44% SC , 28% draw, 29% VFL.

SC Paderborn 07 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1400. Recent form leans SC Paderborn 07, 65% against 33%. Attacking output favors SC Paderborn 07 on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.5 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 70%, over 2.5 goals around 76%. Draw no bet leans SC Paderborn 07 at 60%; double chance reads SC Paderborn 07 or draw 71%, VfL Wolfsburg or draw 56%.

SC Paderborn 07 arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Fagiano Okayama, W 2-1 v VfL Wolfsburg, D 0-0 @ VfL Wolfsburg, W 2-0 @ SV Darmstadt 98.

VfL Wolfsburg are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 15 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Verl, W 8-2 @ Schöningen, L 1-2 @ SC Paderborn 07, D 0-0 v SC Paderborn 07.

VfL Wolfsburg hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: SC Paderborn 07 2-1 VfL Wolfsburg.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

Pro

The model forecast is a Pro feature.

Live scores, stats and commentary are always free. The glass-box model — probabilities, the edge against the market and the full match dossier — unlocks on Pro.

See plans

SC Paderborn 07

DWDWW10-6-4

Scored 1.80 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 75%

  • WHFagiano Okayama3-1
  • WHVfL Wolfsburg2-1
  • DAVfL Wolfsburg0-0
  • WASV Darmstadt 982-0
  • DHKarlsruher SC2-2

VfL Wolfsburg

WDLWW4-5-11

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.75 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 65%

  • WHVerl3-0
  • WASchöningen8-2
  • LASC Paderborn 071-2
  • DHSC Paderborn 070-0
  • WAFC St. Pauli3-1

Head-to-head

7 meetings

SC Paderborn 07recordVfL Wolfsburg
1
3
3 draws

Goals

11-15

for each

Avg goals

3.7

per game

BTTS

86%

both scored

Over 2.5

57%

3+ goals

SC Paderborn 07

Recent
WDLLDL
Wins 1Goals 11-15

Biggest win 2-1

VfL Wolfsburg

Recent
LDWWDW
Wins 3Goals 15-11

Biggest win 4-2

  • SC Paderborn 072-1VfL Wolfsburg
  • VfL Wolfsburg0-0SC Paderborn 07
  • VfL Wolfsburg5-4SC Paderborn 07
  • SC Paderborn 072-4VfL Wolfsburg
  • VfL Wolfsburg1-1SC Paderborn 07
  • SC Paderborn 071-3VfL Wolfsburg
  • VfL Wolfsburg1-1SC Paderborn 07

Managers

L. Kwasniok

Germany · 44

In charge since 2021 · 5 clubs managed

  • Saarbrücken2019–2021
  • Carl Zeiss Jena2018–2019
  • Karlsruhe2016–2017
  • Karlsruher SC U192015–2018

D. Bauer

Germany · 43

In charge since 2025 · 4 clubs managed

  • Wolfsburg U192022–2025
  • Wolfsburg U172020–2022

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.