Cornellà v Vilanova: the model read
Cornellà meet Vilanova in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 semi-finals at Nou Municipal de Cornella, Cornella de Llobregat. The model makes Vilanova the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 31% COR, 33% draw, 37% VIL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 57%. Attacking output favors Cornellà on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 30%. Draw no bet leans Vilanova at 54%; double chance reads Cornellà or draw 63%, Vilanova or draw 69%.
Cornellà arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Badalona, W 4-1 v Badalona, L 1-2 v Vilanova, W 1-0 @ Vilanova.
Vilanova are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Cornellà, L 0-1 v Cornellà, W 2-1 @ Lleida Esportiu, W 1-0 v Can Vidalet.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output