Arnedo v Calahorra: the model read
Arnedo meet Calahorra in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 semi-finals. The model makes Arnedo the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% ARN, 30% draw, 29% CAL.
Arnedo rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1742 to 1604. Recent form leans Arnedo, 83% against 65%. Attacking output favors Arnedo on expected goals, 2.4 to 2.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans Arnedo at 58%; double chance reads Arnedo or draw 71%, Calahorra or draw 59%.
Arnedo arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Tropezón, L 0-1 @ Tropezón, W 3-2 v Oyonesa, D 0-0 @ Oyonesa.
Calahorra are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 14 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Arnedo, L 0-2 v Arnedo, D 4-4 @ Yagüe, W 6-0 v Comillas.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output