Altay v Ordabasy: the model read
Altay meet Ordabasy in the Cup semi-finals at Vostok Stadium, Oskemen. The model makes Ordabasy the most likely outcome at 53%, with the full read 20% ALT, 27% draw, 53% ORD.
Ordabasy rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1742 to 1431. Recent form leans Ordabasy, 83% against 40%. Attacking output favors Ordabasy on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 41%, over 2.5 goals around 63%. Draw no bet leans Ordabasy at 73%; double chance reads Altay or draw 47%, Ordabasy or draw 80%.
Altay arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ FC Astana, L 2-4 v Aktobe, L 1-3 @ Ordabasy, W 1-0 @ Zhetysu.
Ordabasy are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Kairat Almaty, W 3-1 v Yelimay Semey, W 3-1 v Altay, L 2-3 @ Kaspiy.
Ordabasy hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ordabasy 3-1 Altay.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
