Expressinho v São José MA: the model read
Expressinho meet São José MA in the Maranhense - 2 regular season - 5. The model makes São José MA the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 32% EXP, 30% draw, 38% SÃO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 15% against 18%. Attacking output favors São José MA on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 61%. Draw no bet leans São José MA at 55%; double chance reads Expressinho or draw 62%, São José MA or draw 68%.
Expressinho arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 @ Lago Verde, L 0-1 v Lago Verde, W 2-1 v São José MA, L 0-1 @ Araioses.
São José MA are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Expressinho, L 0-2 v Sao Luis, L 0-1 @ Americano Bacabal, W 3-2 @ Tupan.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output