Tupan v Araioses: the model read
Tupan meet Araioses in the Maranhense - 2 regular season - 5. The model makes Araioses the most likely outcome at 56%, with the full read 16% TUP, 28% draw, 56% ARA.
Araioses rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1742 to 1400. Recent form leans Araioses, 85% against 28%. Attacking output favors Araioses on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 16%, over 2.5 goals around 45%. Draw no bet leans Araioses at 78%; double chance reads Tupan or draw 44%, Araioses or draw 84%.
Tupan arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Timon MA, L 0-1 v Timon MA, D 0-0 v Araioses, D 2-2 @ Americano Bacabal.
Araioses are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Lago Verde, D 1-1 @ Timon MA, W 1-0 v Timon MA, W 2-0 v Cordino.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output