Guatemala U20 v Costa Rica U20

Guatemala U20 meet Costa Rica U20 in the CONCACAF U20 concacaf championship u20 - 1. The model makes Guatemala U20 the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% GUA, 30% draw, 34% COS.

The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Guatemala U20, 50% against 40%. Attacking output favors Costa Rica U20 on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 53%. Draw no bet leans Guatemala U20 at 51%; double chance reads Guatemala U20 or draw 66%, Costa Rica U20 or draw 64%.

Guatemala U20 arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Antigua and Barbuda U20, L 0-1 v Costa Rica U20, D 1-1 @ El Salvador U20, D 0-0 @ El Salvador U20.

Costa Rica U20 are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Mexico U20, W 1-0 @ Guatemala U20, L 1-2 @ Colombia U20, L 0-1 @ Colombia U20.

Costa Rica U20 hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Guatemala U20 0-1 Costa Rica U20.

The market prices GUA at 13% implied. Our number sits apart on Guatemala U20: a 22.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.