Willem II v Waalwijk: the model read
Willem II meet Waalwijk in the Eerste Divisie quarter-finals at Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg. The model makes Willem II the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% WIL, 30% draw, 29% WAA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1662 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Willem II, 71% against 60%. Attacking output favors Waalwijk on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 54%. Draw no bet leans Willem II at 58%; double chance reads Willem II or draw 71%, Waalwijk or draw 59%.
Willem II arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v FC Eindhoven, L 1-2 v Quick Boys, W 2-1 @ FC Volendam, L 1-2 v FC Volendam.
Waalwijk are steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v FC Volendam, D 1-1 v Alemannia Aachen, D 0-0 @ Kozakken Boys, D 1-1 v Jong AZ.
Willem II hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Willem II 1-1 Waalwijk.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
