Waalwijk v Willem II: the model read
Waalwijk meet Willem II in the Eerste Divisie quarter-finals at Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk. The model makes Willem II the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 29% WAA, 30% draw, 41% WIL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1662, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Willem II, 71% against 60%. Attacking output favors Waalwijk on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 54%. Draw no bet leans Willem II at 58%; double chance reads Waalwijk or draw 59%, Willem II or draw 71%.
Waalwijk arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v FC Volendam, D 1-1 v Alemannia Aachen, D 0-0 @ Kozakken Boys, D 1-1 v Jong AZ.
Willem II are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v FC Eindhoven, L 1-2 v Quick Boys, W 2-1 @ FC Volendam, L 1-2 v FC Volendam.
Willem II hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Willem II 1-1 Waalwijk.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
