Australia W v Mexico W: the model read
Australia W meet Mexico W in the Friendlies Women friendly international women at CommBank Stadium, Sydney.
The baseline ratings are close, 1719 to 1753, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 78% against 85%. Attacking output favors Mexico W on expected goals, 3.3 to 2.4 per match.
Australia W arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Mexico W, L 0-1 v Mexico W, W 2-0 @ Kenya W, W 5-0 v Malawi W.
Mexico W are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 13 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Colombia W, W 4-1 v El Salvador W, W 7-0 @ Jamaica W, W 1-0 @ Colombia W.
Australia W hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Australia W 3-1 Mexico W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
