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Emir Cup · Final · Qatar

Al-Gharafa v Al Sadd

4-1Full time· Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan· Referee: A. Al Marri

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Al-Gharafa v Al Sadd: the model read

Al-Gharafa meet Al Sadd in the Emir Cup final at Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan.

Al Sadd rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1625 to 1408. Recent form leans Al Sadd, 66% against 35%. Attacking output favors Al Sadd on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.3 per match.

Al-Gharafa arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Al Sadd, L 1-3 v Al Shamal, W 2-1 v Al Shahaniya, D 2-2 @ Al Riyadh.

Al Sadd are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Al-Gharafa, W 6-2 @ Qatar SC, W 3-1 v Al Ahli Doha, W 1-0 @ Trabzonspor.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Al-Gharafa

LDWLL5-4-11

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 2.05 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 65%

  • LAAl Sadd1-2
  • LHAl Shamal1-3
  • WHAl Shahaniya2-1
  • DAAl Riyadh2-2
  • LAŠamorín1-2

Al Sadd

LWWWW11-3-5

Scored 2.58 · Conceded 2.05 · Clean sheets 5.3% · BTTS 94.7%

  • WHAl-Gharafa2-1
  • WAQatar SC6-2
  • WHAl Ahli Doha3-1
  • WATrabzonspor1-0
  • LASigma Olomouc1-2

Managers

Pedro Martins

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Roberto Mancini

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.