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Liga MX Femenil · Clausura - Semi-finals · Mexico

Monterrey W v Pachuca W

4-1Full time· Cancha El Barrial, Santiago· Referee: A. Lopez

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Monterrey W v Pachuca W: the model read

Monterrey W meet Pachuca W in the Liga MX Femenil clausura - semi-finals at Cancha El Barrial, Santiago. The model makes Monterrey W the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% MON, 30% draw, 33% PAC.

The baseline ratings are close, 1661 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 73% against 68%. Attacking output favors Pachuca W on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans Monterrey W at 52%; double chance reads Monterrey W or draw 67%, Pachuca W or draw 63%.

Monterrey W arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ América W, W 1-0 v América W, W 4-1 v Pachuca W, L 0-2 @ Pachuca W.

Pachuca W are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ NJ/NY Gotham FC W, L 0-1 @ Washington Spirit W, L 1-4 @ Monterrey W, W 2-0 v Monterrey W.

Monterrey W hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Monterrey W 4-1 Pachuca W.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Monterrey W

WLWWL12-5-3

Scored 1.95 · Conceded 0.75 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 35%

  • LAAmérica W0-3
  • WHAmérica W1-0
  • WHPachuca W4-1
  • LAPachuca W0-2
  • WHCruz Azul W4-0

Pachuca W

WWLLW12-3-5

Scored 2.40 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 45%

  • WANJ/NY Gotham FC W3-0
  • LAWashington Spirit W0-1
  • LAMonterrey W1-4
  • WHMonterrey W2-0
  • WHGuadalajara W2-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Monterrey WrecordPachuca W
5
3
2 draws

Goals

16-12

for each

Avg goals

2.8

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Monterrey W

Recent
WLWLLW
Wins 5Goals 16-12

Biggest win 4-1

Pachuca W

Recent
LWLWWL
Wins 3Goals 12-16

Biggest win 4-1

  • Monterrey W4-1Pachuca W
  • Pachuca W2-0Monterrey W
  • Pachuca W0-1Monterrey W
  • Monterrey W0-2Pachuca W
  • Pachuca W4-1Monterrey W
  • Monterrey W1-0Pachuca W
  • Monterrey W2-2Pachuca W
  • Monterrey W4-1Pachuca W
  • Pachuca W0-3Monterrey W
  • Pachuca W0-0Monterrey W

Managers

A. Valverde

Costa Rica · 38

In charge since 2024 · 3 clubs managed

  • Costa Rica U202018–2022
  • Costa Rica2015–2023

Ó. Torres

Mexico · 57

In charge since 2023 · 3 clubs managed

  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca2020–2021
  • Mineros de Zacatecas2019–2020

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.