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A-League · Semi-finals · Australia

Newcastle Jets v Sydney

1-1Full time· McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle· Referee: S. Evans

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Newcastle Jets v Sydney: the model read

Newcastle Jets meet Sydney in the A-League semi-finals at McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle.

The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Newcastle Jets, 68% against 55%. Attacking output favors Newcastle Jets on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.3 per match.

Newcastle Jets arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Preston Lions, D 1-1 v Sydney, D 1-1 @ Sydney, W 4-0 v Central Coast Mariners.

Sydney are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ SD Raiders, W 4-2 @ Brisbane Roar, D 1-1 @ Tottenham, W 5-1 @ Bayswater City.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Newcastle Jets

DWDDL11-5-4

Scored 2.15 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 80%

  • LAPreston Lions2-3
  • DHSydney1-1
  • DASydney1-1
  • WHCentral Coast Mariners4-0
  • DAMelbourne Victory2-2

Sydney

LWDWW7-8-5

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • WASD Raiders1-0
  • WABrisbane Roar4-2
  • DATottenham1-1
  • WABayswater City5-1
  • LAAuckland0-1

Managers

Home coach unavailable.

Patrick Kisnorbo

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.