KFG v Selfoss: the model read
KFG meet Selfoss in the 2. Deild regular season - 11 at Samsung Vollurinn, Gardabaer. The model makes Selfoss the most likely outcome at 50%, with the full read 25% KFG, 25% draw, 50% SEL.
Selfoss rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1400. Recent form leans Selfoss, 63% against 33%. Attacking output favors Selfoss on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 80%, over 2.5 goals around 92%. Draw no bet leans Selfoss at 67%; double chance reads KFG or draw 50%, Selfoss or draw 75%.
KFG arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 6 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Haukar, D 1-1 @ Magni, L 1-5 v Kári, L 1-5 @ Thróttur Vogar.
Selfoss are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 13 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Dalvík / Reynir, W 5-2 @ Kormákur / Hvöt, W 1-0 @ Fjardabyggd / Leiknir, D 2-2 v Hvíti riddarinn.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
