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Liga MX Femenil · Clausura - Quarter-finals · Mexico

Tigres UANL W v Toluca W

1-2Full time· Estadio Universitario· Referee: A. Lopez

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Tigres UANL W v Toluca W: the model read

Tigres UANL W meet Toluca W in the Liga MX Femenil clausura - quarter-finals at Estadio Universitario, undefined. The model makes Tigres UANL W the most likely outcome at 48%, with the full read 48% TIG, 26% draw, 25% TOL.

The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 70% against 63%. Attacking output favors Tigres UANL W on expected goals, 2.2 to 2.0 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 70%, over 2.5 goals around 82%. Draw no bet leans Tigres UANL W at 65%; double chance reads Tigres UANL W or draw 75%, Toluca W or draw 52%.

Tigres UANL W arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Toluca W, L 1-2 @ Toluca W, W 3-0 @ Monterrey W, D 2-2 v Guadalajara W.

Toluca W are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 3-4 @ América W, L 1-7 v América W, W 2-1 @ Tigres UANL W, W 2-1 v Tigres UANL W.

Tigres UANL W hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tigres UANL W 1-2 Toluca W.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Tigres UANL W

WDWLL12-4-4

Scored 2.20 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 50%

  • LHToluca W1-2
  • LAToluca W1-2
  • WAMonterrey W3-0
  • DHGuadalajara W2-2
  • WATijuana W2-0

Toluca W

DWWLL11-3-6

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 1.80 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • LAAmérica W3-4
  • LHAmérica W1-7
  • WATigres UANL W2-1
  • WHTigres UANL W2-1
  • DAGuadalajara W1-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Tigres UANL WrecordToluca W
7
2
1 draw

Goals

33-7

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

80%

3+ goals

Tigres UANL W

Recent
LLWDWW
Wins 7Goals 33-7

Biggest win 7-0

Toluca W

Recent
WWLDLL
Wins 2Goals 7-33

Biggest win 2-1

  • Tigres UANL W1-2Toluca W
  • Toluca W2-1Tigres UANL W
  • Toluca W1-2Tigres UANL W
  • Tigres UANL W1-1Toluca W
  • Tigres UANL W5-0Toluca W
  • Toluca W0-6Tigres UANL W
  • Toluca W0-7Tigres UANL W
  • Tigres UANL W3-1Toluca W
  • Tigres UANL W2-0Toluca W
  • Tigres UANL W5-0Toluca W

Managers

Pedro Martínez

Spain · 49

In charge since 2025 · 5 clubs managed

  • Scotland2021–2025
  • Bordeaux2019–2021
  • Arsenal2014–2017
  • Rayo Vallecano2009–2012

Cesar Arzate

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.