LDU Portoviejo v Libertad: the model read
LDU Portoviejo meet Libertad in the Copa Ecuador round of 32 at Estadio Reales Tamarindos, Portoviejo. The model makes LDU Portoviejo the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% LDU, 34% draw, 30% LIB.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 40%. Attacking output favors LDU Portoviejo on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 31%, over 2.5 goals around 24%. Draw no bet leans LDU Portoviejo at 54%; double chance reads LDU Portoviejo or draw 70%, Libertad or draw 64%.
LDU Portoviejo arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Santo Domingo, L 0-1 v Ind. Juniors, L 0-1 @ Deportivo Cuenca Juniors, D 1-1 v 9 de Octubre.
Libertad are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 4 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Mushuc Runa SC, W 1-0 v Delfin SC, L 0-1 @ Barcelona SC, W 1-0 v Tecnico Universitario.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: LDU Portoviejo 1-1 Libertad.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
