Skip to content
Liga Premier Serie A · Semi-finals · Mexico

Durango v Deportivo Zap

2-1Full time· Estadio Francisco Zarco, Durango

Share
Match analysisPre-match brief

Durango v Deportivo Zap: the model read

Durango meet Deportivo Zap in the Liga Premier Serie A semi-finals at Estadio Francisco Zarco, Durango. The model makes Durango the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 44% DUR, 32% draw, 24% DEP.

Durango rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1696 to 1512. Recent form leans Durango, 78% against 53%. Attacking output favors Durango on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 32%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans Durango at 65%; double chance reads Durango or draw 76%, Deportivo Zap or draw 56%.

Durango arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Tepatitlán, D 0-0 v Deportiva Venados, L 1-2 @ Deportiva Venados, W 2-1 v Deportivo Zap.

Deportivo Zap are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Durango, D 0-0 v Durango, W 2-0 @ Racing de Veracruz, D 0-0 v Racing de Veracruz.

Durango hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Durango 2-1 Deportivo Zap.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

Pro

The model forecast is a Pro feature.

Live scores, stats and commentary are always free. The glass-box model — probabilities, the edge against the market and the full match dossier — unlocks on Pro.

See plans

Durango

DWLDW13-5-2

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 0.55 · Clean sheets 55% · BTTS 40%

  • WATepatitlán1-0
  • DHDeportiva Venados0-0
  • LADeportiva Venados1-2
  • WHDeportivo Zap2-1
  • DADeportivo Zap0-0

Deportivo Zap

LDWDL7-7-6

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 45%

  • LADurango1-2
  • DHDurango0-0
  • WARacing de Veracruz2-0
  • DHRacing de Veracruz0-0
  • LATigres de Alica1-2

Head-to-head

2 meetings

DurangorecordDeportivo Zap
1
0
1 draw

Goals

2-1

for each

Avg goals

1.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Durango

Recent
WD
Wins 1Goals 2-1

Biggest win 2-1

Deportivo Zap

Recent
LD
Wins 0Goals 1-2
  • Durango2-1Deportivo Zap
  • Deportivo Zap0-0Durango

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.