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A-League Women · Semi-finals · Australia

Melbourne City W v Melbourne Victory W

1-0Full time· Ctrl cyber Pitch, Melbourne· Referee: M. Ryan

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Melbourne City W v Melbourne Victory W: the model read

Melbourne City W meet Melbourne Victory W in the A-League Women semi-finals at Ctrl cyber Pitch, Melbourne.

Melbourne City W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1477. Recent form leans Melbourne City W, 73% against 45%. Attacking output favors Melbourne City W on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.1 per match.

Melbourne City W arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Tokyo Verdy Beleza W, W 3-1 v Wellington Phoenix W, W 1-0 v Melbourne Victory W, W 1-0 @ Melbourne Victory W.

Melbourne Victory W are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Melbourne City W, L 0-1 v Melbourne City W, W 3-1 @ Canberra United W, W 1-0 @ Perth Glory FC W.

Melbourne City W hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Melbourne City W 1-0 Melbourne Victory W.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Melbourne City W

WWWWL13-3-4

Scored 1.70 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 65%

  • LHTokyo Verdy Beleza W1-3
  • WHWellington Phoenix W3-1
  • WHMelbourne Victory W1-0
  • WAMelbourne Victory W1-0
  • WANewcastle Jets FC W2-1

Melbourne Victory W

LWWLL7-4-9

Scored 1.15 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • LAMelbourne City W0-1
  • LHMelbourne City W0-1
  • WACanberra United W3-1
  • WAPerth Glory FC W1-0
  • LASydney FC W1-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Melbourne City WrecordMelbourne Victory W
5
1
4 draws

Goals

12-9

for each

Avg goals

2.1

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

30%

3+ goals

Melbourne City W

Recent
WWDWDW
Wins 5Goals 12-9

Biggest win 1-0

Melbourne Victory W

Recent
LLDLDL
Wins 1Goals 9-12

Biggest win 2-0

  • Melbourne City W1-0Melbourne Victory W
  • Melbourne Victory W0-1Melbourne City W
  • Melbourne Victory W0-0Melbourne City W
  • Melbourne City W2-1Melbourne Victory W
  • Melbourne City W1-1Melbourne Victory W
  • Melbourne Victory W2-3Melbourne City W
  • Melbourne Victory W0-0Melbourne City W
  • Melbourne City W1-0Melbourne Victory W
  • Melbourne City W3-3Melbourne Victory W
  • Melbourne Victory W2-0Melbourne City W

Managers

Michael Matricciani

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Jeffrey Hopkins

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.