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FA Cup · Semi-finals · Thailand

Buriram United v Ayutthaya FC

5-0Full time· Chang Arena, Buriram· Referee: S. Pu Udom

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Buriram United v Ayutthaya FC: the model read

Buriram United meet Ayutthaya FC in the FA Cup semi-finals at Chang Arena, Buriram. The model makes Buriram United the most likely outcome at 53%, with the full read 53% BUR, 28% draw, 20% AYU.

Buriram United rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1454. Recent form leans Buriram United, 68% against 40%. Attacking output favors Buriram United on expected goals, 2.0 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 35%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Buriram United at 73%; double chance reads Buriram United or draw 80%, Ayutthaya FC or draw 47%.

Buriram United arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 12 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Grakcu Sai Mai United, W 1-0 v Prachuap, W 2-1 v Selangor, W 1-0 @ Selangor.

Ayutthaya FC are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 3 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 @ Buriram United, L 1-4 v Port FC, L 1-4 @ Bangkok United, L 1-3 v Prachuap.

Buriram United hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Buriram United 5-0 Ayutthaya FC.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Buriram United

WWWWW12-3-5

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 45%

  • WAGrakcu Sai Mai United3-0
  • WHPrachuap1-0
  • WHSelangor2-1
  • WASelangor1-0
  • WHAyutthaya FC5-0

Ayutthaya FC

LLLLL7-2-11

Scored 0.75 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 30%

  • LABuriram United0-5
  • LHPort FC1-4
  • LABangkok United1-4
  • LHPrachuap1-3
  • LABuriram United0-2

Head-to-head

3 meetings

Buriram UnitedrecordAyutthaya FC
3
0
0 draws

Goals

11-1

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

33%

both scored

Over 2.5

67%

3+ goals

Buriram United

Recent
WWW
Wins 3Goals 11-1

Biggest win 5-0

Ayutthaya FC

Recent
LLL
Wins 0Goals 1-11
  • Buriram United5-0Ayutthaya FC
  • Buriram United2-0Ayutthaya FC
  • Ayutthaya FC1-4Buriram United

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.