Taverne v Chênois: the model read
Taverne meet Chênois in the Erste Liga Cup qualification round 3. The model makes Taverne the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% TAV, 28% draw, 30% CHÊ.
The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Taverne, 65% against 53%. Attacking output favors Chênois on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 74%, over 2.5 goals around 79%. Draw no bet leans Taverne at 58%; double chance reads Taverne or draw 70%, Chênois or draw 58%.
Taverne arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Paradiso, L 0-2 @ Sampdoria, L 0-1 @ Servette II, D 1-1 v Servette II.
Chênois are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 7 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Azzurri, L 1-2 @ Bavois, L 0-3 v Grand-Saconnex, D 3-3 @ Bulle.
Taverne hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Taverne 2-1 Chênois.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
