Höngg v Tuggen: the model read
Höngg meet Tuggen in the Erste Liga Cup qualification round 3. The model makes Tuggen the most likely outcome at 52%, with the full read 24% HÖN, 25% draw, 52% TUG.
Tuggen rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1400. Recent form leans Tuggen, 65% against 35%. Attacking output favors Tuggen on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 76%, over 2.5 goals around 91%. Draw no bet leans Tuggen at 69%; double chance reads Höngg or draw 48%, Tuggen or draw 76%.
Höngg arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Winterthur II, D 3-3 v St. Gallen II, L 1-3 @ Taverne, L 2-6 v Tuggen.
Tuggen are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 v Langenthal, D 2-2 @ Langenthal, W 4-1 v Eschen / Mauren, L 0-1 @ Mendrisio.
Tuggen hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Höngg 2-6 Tuggen.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
