Vilavelhense v Audax São Mateus: the model read
Vilavelhense meet Audax São Mateus in the Copa Espírito Santo 1st phase - 7. The model makes Vilavelhense the most likely outcome at 50%, with the full read 50% VIL, 32% draw, 18% AUD.
Vilavelhense rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1535 to 1400. Recent form leans Vilavelhense, 55% against 19%. Attacking output favors Vilavelhense on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 15%, over 2.5 goals around 27%. Draw no bet leans Vilavelhense at 74%; double chance reads Vilavelhense or draw 82%, Audax São Mateus or draw 50%.
Vilavelhense arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Vitória ES, D 2-2 v Vitória ES, W 2-0 v Audax São Mateus, W 1-0 v Vitória ES.
Audax São Mateus are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 0 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Linhares, L 0-2 @ Vilavelhense, L 0-4 v Rio Branco ES, L 0-3 @ Porto Vitória.
Vilavelhense hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Vilavelhense 2-0 Audax São Mateus.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output