Rio Branco ES v Serra Talhada: the model read
Rio Branco ES meet Serra Talhada in the Copa Espírito Santo 1st phase - 7. The model makes Rio Branco ES the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% RIO, 33% draw, 31% SER.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 45%. Attacking output favors Rio Branco ES on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 30%. Draw no bet leans Rio Branco ES at 53%; double chance reads Rio Branco ES or draw 69%, Serra Talhada or draw 64%.
Rio Branco ES arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Uberlandia, L 0-2 v Uberlandia, W 4-0 v Porto BA, W 1-0 v Serra Talhada.
Serra Talhada are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Rio Branco ES, D 1-1 v Porto Vitória, L 0-1 @ Rio Branco-VN, L 2-3 @ Vitória ES.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Rio Branco ES 1-0 Serra Talhada.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
