Blumenau v Nação: the model read
Blumenau meet Nação in the Catarinense - 2 regular season - 17. The model makes Blumenau the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% BLU, 30% draw, 25% NAÇ.
The baseline ratings are close, 1541 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Blumenau, 55% against 43%. Attacking output favors Blumenau on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans Blumenau at 64%; double chance reads Blumenau or draw 75%, Nação or draw 55%.
Blumenau arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Nação, D 1-1 @ Guarani de Palhoça, W 4-1 v Metropolitano, L 0-2 v Hercílio Luz.
Nação are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Hercílio Luz, W 2-0 @ Blumenau, D 2-2 v Caravaggio, W 2-0 @ Jaraguá.
Blumenau hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Blumenau 0-2 Nação.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output