Nação v Fluminense-SC: the model read
Nação meet Fluminense-SC in the Catarinense - 2 regular season - 14. The model makes Fluminense-SC the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 33% NAÇ, 33% draw, 34% FLU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 45%. Attacking output favors Nação on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 30%. Draw no bet leans Fluminense-SC at 51%; double chance reads Nação or draw 66%, Fluminense-SC or draw 67%.
Nação arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Hercílio Luz, W 2-0 @ Blumenau, D 2-2 v Caravaggio, W 2-0 @ Jaraguá.
Fluminense-SC are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Metropolitano, W 2-1 v Tubarao, L 0-3 @ Juventus SC, D 1-1 v Guarani de Palhoça.
Fluminense-SC hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nação 1-2 Fluminense-SC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
