Nação v Metropolitano: the model read
Nação meet Metropolitano in the Catarinense - 2 regular season - 12. The model makes Metropolitano the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 24% NAÇ, 29% draw, 47% MET.
Metropolitano rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1443. Recent form leans Metropolitano, 68% against 43%. Attacking output favors Metropolitano on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans Metropolitano at 67%; double chance reads Nação or draw 53%, Metropolitano or draw 76%.
Nação arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Hercílio Luz, W 2-0 @ Blumenau, D 2-2 v Caravaggio, W 2-0 @ Jaraguá.
Metropolitano are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 15 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Fluminense-SC, W 2-0 @ Juventus SC, W 6-1 v Jaraguá, L 1-4 @ Blumenau.
Metropolitano hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nação 0-0 Metropolitano.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output