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Kakkonen - Lohko B · Group B - 18 · Finland

GrIFK v Ilves II

3-2Full time· Kauniaisten Keskuskentta, Kauniainen

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Match analysisPre-match brief

GrIFK v Ilves II: the model read

GrIFK meet Ilves II in the Kakkonen - Lohko B group b - 18 at Kauniaisten Keskuskentta, Kauniainen.

Ilves II rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1477. Recent form leans Ilves II, 65% against 45%. Attacking output favors Ilves II on expected goals, 2.9 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 77%, over 2.5 goals around 91%. Draw no bet leans Ilves II at 68%; double chance reads GrIFK or draw 49%, Ilves II or draw 76%.

GrIFK arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Ilves II, W 1-0 @ HJS Akatemia, L 0-2 @ P-Iirot, W 2-1 v EBK.

Ilves II are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 15 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ GrIFK, W 4-0 v NJS, L 1-3 @ HJS Akatemia, W 7-0 v Musa.

The market prices GRI at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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GrIFK

LWLWW7-4-9

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.85 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • WHIlves II3-2
  • WAHJS Akatemia1-0
  • LAP-Iirot0-2
  • WHEBK2-1
  • LAHonka1-2

Ilves II

LWLWL10-6-4

Scored 2.90 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 85%

  • LAGrIFK2-3
  • WHNJS4-0
  • LAHJS Akatemia1-3
  • WHMusa7-0
  • LAP-Iirot1-2

Managers

I. Zeneli

Finland · 41

In charge since 2024 · 5 clubs managed

  • EBK2024–2024
  • Lahti2020–2022
  • Espoo Heimo2017–2019
  • PK-35 Vantaa2013–2015

I. Miettinen

Finland · 35

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.