Liverpool W v Brighton W: the model read
Liverpool W meet Brighton W in the FA Women's Cup semi-finals at St Helens Stadium, St Helens. The model makes Brighton W the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 34% LIV, 29% draw, 36% BRI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 53%. Attacking output favors Liverpool W on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 65%, over 2.5 goals around 64%. Draw no bet leans Brighton W at 52%; double chance reads Liverpool W or draw 64%, Brighton W or draw 66%.
Liverpool W arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Arsenal W, L 2-3 v Brighton W, L 0-1 @ Manchester City W, L 0-1 v West Ham W.
Brighton W are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Manchester City W, L 1-2 v Tottenham Hotspur W, W 3-2 @ Liverpool W, D 1-1 v Arsenal W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
